840 recorded picks · 5 complete drafts

The
draft

Every pick on record, joined to what that player actually scored. The draft matters. It does not decide.

Draft night 2026 — the order, pick by pick →

Does the draft decide the season?

Rank every roster by what its picks scored that year, then rank the same rosters by what they actually put up week to week. The two lists agree at r = 0.47 across 56 manager-seasons — a real relationship, and nowhere near a verdict. The gap column is where the season was won or thrown away.

1stJustin310542134.563rd+2
2ndDylan277200132.084th+2
3rdCam269632138.381st-2
4thKolton257421135.102nd-2
5thMatt254032108.599th+4
6thBrevin244922111.858th+2
7thColby241024131.835th-2
8thLarry21523396.0310th+2
9thKelly208532122.717th-2
10thBlaine207223124.966th-4
1stKelly267652118.874th+3
2ndJustin249432133.811st-1
3rdEthan239522109.589th+6
4thBal238330113.028th+4
5thMoe234130107.5710th+5
6thCarter23394397.0912th+6
7thMitch228722116.506th-1
8thKolton221642120.273rd-5
9thColby220841117.055th-4
10thCam209624115.127th-3
11thBrevin207724120.812nd-9
12thDylan17933597.8811th-1
1stJarrett289830131.214th+3
2ndDylan286333133.843rd+1
3rdColby268041122.656th+3
4thCade/Drue266120145.561st-3
5thKolton262932126.505th0
6thJustin256911136.832nd-4
7thParsa/Quin249353121.727th0
8thCam224513117.448th0
9thBeau195804111.9310th+1
10thBal143514115.739th-1
1stSam300562130.032nd+1
2ndAnjali297354139.011st-1
3rdDrue272031123.597th+4
4thKolton270142129.783rd-1
5thCam256242122.888th+3
6thColby241134128.544th-2
7thParsa/Quin237832119.489th+2
8thAnt/Zak225434104.8312th+4
9thJustin223724128.206th-3
10thDylan217302117.9210th0
11thJarrett195615105.7711th0
12thCade186523128.215th-7
1stKolton264853125.993rd+2
2ndBrayden260531119.268th+6
3rdDylan247932111.0211th+8
4thNick244322126.032nd-2
5thCam242721138.411st-4
6thParsa/Quin236531120.587th+1
7thJustin235632123.644th-3
8thDrue228244122.995th-3
9thPeyton205414118.919th0
10thColby199134121.416th-4
11thJarrett191724110.9312th+1
12thCade174134114.5210th-2
Most left on the table

Dylan drafted the 3rd-best haul of 12 in 2025 and finished 11th in scoring. Nobody on record has converted a good draft into less.

Most squeezed out of it

Brevin drafted 11th of 12 in 2022 and scored 2nd.

Steals and busts

Measured over replacement, not in raw points. Raw scoring puts almost every quarterback above almost every running back, which would make any late quarterback look like grand theft in a league that starts one of them.

Larceny

Latest picks that returned the most above replacement.

  1. +157Baker MayfieldQB4
    Ant/Zak · 2024 pick 172
    366
  2. +155Trevor LawrenceQB3
    Jarrett · 2025 pick 173
    338
  3. +152Wan'Dale RobinsonWR13
    Kolton · 2025 pick 180
    218
  4. +136Kyle Pitts Sr.TE2
    Kolton · 2025 pick 157
    211
  5. +123Tua TagovailoaQB5
    Jarrett · 2023 pick 132
    272
  6. +122Daniel JonesQB8
    Ethan · 2022 pick 167
    289
  7. +120Evan EngramTE5
    Ethan · 2022 pick 170
    177
  8. +117Geno SmithQB9
    Cam · 2023 pick 139
    227
  9. +114Darnell MooneyWR20
    Matt · 2021 pick 147
    220
  10. +114Drake MayeQB2
    Dylan · 2025 pick 129
    352

Wreckage

First three rounds only — a bust in round twelve costs nothing.

  1. -152Christian McCaffreyRB49
    Parsa/Quin · 2024 pick 1
    48
  2. -135Isiah PachecoRB48
    Jarrett · 2024 pick 17
    57
  3. -133Javonte WilliamsRB50
    Dylan · 2022 pick 18
    42
  4. -127Malik NabersWR59
    Cade · 2025 pick 7
    57
  5. -122Jayden DanielsQB19
    Cade · 2025 pick 31
    114
  6. -121Nick ChubbRB49
    Bal · 2023 pick 16
    23
  7. -118Brandon AiyukWR65
    Cam · 2024 pick 26
    62
  8. -109Chris OlaveWR60
    Cade · 2024 pick 27
    77
  9. -103J.K. DobbinsRB51
    Bal · 2023 pick 36
    12
  10. -99Christian McCaffreyRB31
    Kelly · 2021 pick 1
    128

What is missing

The record book covers every game since 2021. The draft record does not — and a draft that is not on file cannot be reconstructed from results, so these years stay blank until somebody produces them.

2021complete draft150 picks · 15 rounds
2022complete draft180 picks · 15 rounds
2023complete draft150 picks · 15 rounds
2024complete draft180 picks · 15 rounds
2025complete draft180 picks · 15 rounds
Filling a blank year

Every season on record has a complete draft on file.

What a missing year needs →